The subtitle of this new paper is “Evidence From Washington State Administrative Records,” and the authors are Jennifer Wu, Chenoa Yorgason, Hanna Folsz, Cassandra Handan-Nader, Andrew Myers, Tobias Nowacki, Daniel M. Thompson, Jesse Yoder, and Andrew B. Hall. Here is the abstract: A commonly expressed concern about vote-by-mail in the United States is that mail-in […]
The post Are Dead People Voting By Mail? appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Read moreContrary to conventional intellectual wisdom there are not many good ones, but this packs some real force: Starting from probabilistic simulations of likely presidential election outcomes that are similar to the output from election forecasting models, we calculate the likelihood of disputable, narrow outcomes under the Electoral College. The probability that the Electoral College is […]
The post The best argument against the Electoral College appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Read moreTyler and I interview each other on COVID for EconED and then we take questions on business cycles, the new edition of our textbook and teaching online. Just prior to the interview we premiered our MRU video on The Economics of COVID, which we refer to at the beginning if you haven’t already seen it. […]
The post Tyler and Alex on COVID appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Read moreUn-convinceable people are frustrating to talk to. But being around only convinceable people, you just end up at the average belief. Having a diverse variety of unconvinceable people to sample from (and move away from when it gets to be too much), and a group of convinceable people with whom to hash out the ideas and […]
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Read moreAnd: Box office results fit the story as well. Here is the full paper by Shaan Kamal, et.al. Via Michelle Dawson.
The post Model this mental illness movie appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Read moreFrom Ravi Kanbur, Yue Wang, and Xiaobo Zhang: This paper argues that after a quarter century of sharp and sustained increase, Chinese inequality is now plateauing and, according to some measures, even declining. A number of papers have been harbingers of this conclusion, but this paper consolidates the literature indicating a turnaround, and provides empirical […]
The post The Great Chinese Inequality Turnaround (?) appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Read moreDavid is repeatedly writing critiques of my writings on Covid-19. (Google to them if you wish, they are so off base and misrepresentative I don’t think they deserve a link, and furthermore I find it almost impossible to track down EconLog archives under their new system.) Virtually all of his points revolve around simple or […]
The post David Henderson needs a reboot appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Read moreBased on a simple and intuitive point, the title of the paper is: “How Should Tax Progressivity Respond to Rising Income Inequality?”, and the answer is something you hardly ever hear acknowledged: When facing shifts in the income distribution like those observed in the US, a utilitarian planner chooses higher progressivity in response to larger […]
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Read moreFrom my Bloomberg column: The current portfolio is multinational, including investments in Pfizer, Sanofi, AstraZeneca and Johnson & Johnson. Ideally, there should be at least one Chinese vaccine included, but there is not. Obviously, given the rhetoric of the current administration, using a Chinese vaccine would be politically difficult. You can’t call it “the Chinese […]
The post The biggest cost of the trade war — less access to Chinese vaccines appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Read moreThere are many ways to conduct clinical trials while releasing a vaccine—indeed, we can make the clinical trials better by randomizing a phased release. Suppose we decide health care and transit workers should be vaccinated first. No problem–offer the workers the vaccine, put the SSNs of those who wants the vaccine into a hat like […]
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